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The J Curve With Marcelo Sampaio, CEO at Hashdex: Five Big Ideas
Hi everyone,
Welcome to the first 2024 edition of Five Big Ideas newsletter in which we deconstruct main practical ideas from our The J Curve conversations with the best entrepreneurs and investors in Latin America.
My guest this week is Marcelo Sampaio, founder and CEO at Brazilian crypto asset manager Hashdex, that has raised over $117m from the likes of Coinbase Ventures, SoftBank Latin America Fund and Valor Capital. Prior to that, Marcelo was the youngest sales director at Oracle ever promoted to that position.
Before we get to Five Big Ideas, here’s some curious market data on bitcoin and crypto:
✅ The Bitcoin technology market size is estimated at USD 14.75 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 25.33 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 11.42% during the forecast period
✅ Blockchain technology could boost global GDP by 1.76 trillion or 1.4% by 2030 🤯
✅ The highest distribution of blockchain market value is observed in the banking sector (29.7% market share in 2023), process manufacturing (11.4%), discrete manufacturing (10.9%), professional services (6.6%), retail (6%), and others (35.3%)
✅ Blockchain spending will grow at the fastest rate in the professional service industry, with a CAGR estimated at 54%, followed by 43.97% by healthcare and 48.2% respectively by state and federal government. (Source: IDC)
Here are the FIVE big ideas from our conversation with Marcelo 🧐💡👇🏻:
1️⃣ The long-term impact of crypto will be bigger than that of AI
Crypto is the paradigm shift, ‘new internet’ while AI is more of a platform shift. E-commerce cannot be bigger than internet, AI cannot be bigger than crypto 🧐
2️⃣ Brazil emerges as a key global crypto powerhouse
The main driving force is Brazilian Central Bank’s progressive, proactive and collaborative regulatory approach. Other factors include social, political and economic instability as well as firm belief that crypto can catalyze financial inclusion
3️⃣ Retail investors should approach crypto-investing with a long-term perspective and limit their exposure to a very little % of their net networth
Crypto is extremely volatile in the short run with a huge potential upside in the long run
4️⃣ The recent SEC approval of 11 ETFs will potentially drive the adoption of crypto by wider audience
The Bitcoin ETF space is shaping up to be highly competitive with digitally natives having an advantage over incumbents
5️⃣ Rio is not just about Carnaval and beautiful beaches, it has a number of competitive advantages for 0 to 1 stage startups
Those advantages include less competition than in São Paulo and great talent coming from local universities
Marcelo’s book recommendation is The Hard Thing About Hard Things: Building a Business When There Are No Easy Answers by Ben Horowitz
You can watch the two-part interview on Youtube 👇🏻
Or listen / watch the episode on Spotify 🎧
Another Interesting read on blockchain in Brazil before you go.
Thanks for reading,
Olga